Nigeria’s oil minister expects a final investment decision (FID) on its Bonga Southwest offshore oil field by February 2019, he said Dec. 7 on the sidelines of an OPEC meeting.

The project, one of the country’s largest with an expected production of 180,000 barrels per day, will generate profit at below $50 per barrel, according to Royal Dutch Shell which operates the field.

“Negotiations [are] still going on. The contractual dynamics [are] still being perfected ...,” Emmanuel Kachikwu told reporters. “Shell wants to do it by the end of the year. Probably it will slip into early next year for FID purposes ... Between now and February we should see a FID on Bonga.”

Shell’s partners in the project are ExxonMobil, Total, Eni and the Nigerian National Petroleum Co.

Kachikwo said Nigeria aimed to produce 2.2 million barrels (MMbbl) next year.

Nigeria currently produces around 1.8 MMbbl of crude oil, excluding extremely light oil known as condensates. The minister said that with production cuts agreed by OPEC that number would be about 1.74 million.

As for the planned 650,000-bbl/d Dangote refinery project, Kachikwo said he expected production to start in fourth-quarter 2020.