Brazil’s massive presalt finds made by state-controlled oil company Petrobras signal that its energy sector’s time has come. Experts estimate there are more than 50 Bbbl of recoverable light crude in the presalt’s Santos Basin alone.

Adding to optimism surrounding Brazil’s prospects is the fact that it has been shielded from the worst of the global credit crunch. In an ironic twist, some of the unreformed aspects of Brazil’s economy, such as state influence over the financial sector (a legacy of the country’s past as an inflation-ridden debtor), have helped limit the damage. The government controls key banks, including the country’s largest mortgage lender, as well as a large development bank that provides easy credit to favored companies. Hefty reserve requirements and taxes on funding loans increased the price of credit, discouraging the type of high-risk lending that has brought down other countries’ economies.

Despite being among the last to fall into recession, however, Brazil may be among the first to emerge from it. On June 10, the central bank cut its interest rate to its lowest point since the 1960s. The value of the Brazilian stock market has rebounded to the level reached prior to the Lehman Brothers collapse in 2008. Many economists now believe the economy will soon return to 3.5% to 4% growth by 2010. This growth and the hike in oil prices make Brazil an even more attractive investment opportunity.

Investment in the presalt

The presalt area spans 500 miles (804.5 km) along the coast of Brazil (from the state of Espírito Santo to Santa Catarina) and 186 miles (300 km) off the coast of Rio de Janeiro. It includes offshore fields such as Tupi, Guará, Bem-Te-Vi, Carioca, Jupiter, Sugar Loaf, and Iara. Tupi, discovered in November 2007, has estimated reserves of 5 Bbbl of oil—8 Bboe —and may be the world’s second-largest oilfield discovery in the past 20 years. Petrobras estimates that reserves at Sugar Loaf field could be even larger, at around 33 Bboe, and that Jupiter field could contain reserves similar in size to Tupi’s.

Development will be expensive, however. Petrobras estimates that Tupi could require as many as 200 wells and cost more than US $600 billion to develop. Petrobras began exploitation of the field in May.

Despite the challenges, Petrobras is banking on the presalt. The company plans to transform Brazil into a major petroleum exporter and has embarked on a massive round of investment to develop these finds. In February 2008 it unveiled its 2009-13 business plan, which contains an estimated $174.4 billion in spending (a $55 billion increase over its previous four-year plan), with $104.6 billion ear marked for E&P, $43.4 billion for downstream, $11.8 billion for gas and other energy, $5.6 billion for petrochemicals, and $3 billion for distribution.

The budget contains $28.9 billion in presalt investments for 2009 alone (an increase from $23 billion in 2008). Petrobras expects presalt development to be competitive even at prices under $40 per barrel. The revised plan is based on an average of $42 per barrel.

The company has already secured funding for its 2009 investments, with $11.8 billion in funds from the Brazilian Development Bank, and $5 billion from international banks. Petrobras and China Development Bank Corp. signed a 10-year bilateral credit line worth $10 billion that Petrobras is to repay by supplying 200,000 b/d of oil for the next 10 years to China’s state oil company, Sinopec.

For oilfield products and services companies to benefit from this massive investment and expansion of energy-related spending, they must understand current market risks and how Petrobras contracts with suppliers and service providers.

The petroleum is ours

President Getúlio Vargas established Petrobras in October 1953 by executive decree, popularizing its creation with the petro-nationalist slogan, “O petróleo é nosso” or “The petroleum is ours.” The company was formed as a monopoly, with the sole purpose of executing the state’s E&P, refining, and transport of hydrocarbons. Later, this monopoly was extended to the import and export of oil products.

In 1997, Law N. 9.478 made Petrobras a semi-public company by opening it to private investment. Today, the Brazilian government holds 40% of the total stock and 58% of the voting shares, with the remainder held by private investors who acquire and trade their shares on the São Paulo and New York stock exchanges. In addition to having majority voting rights, the Brazilian government also controls the Petrobras board, with the right to appoint seven of its nine directors.

Later in 1997, following the enactment of a new petroleum law, the Brazilian government broke Petrobras’ monopoly and allowed private companies to develop Brazilian oil fields through open auctions. Though no longer a monopoly, Petrobras remains under the control of the state and continues to be the single most dominant player in Brazil’s energy economy.

The contract process

Foreign suppliers must have a local partner or subsidiary to register for the Petrobras bidding process. Most US or US-based companies in Brazil contract with Petrobras through a sociedade limitada (or Ltda.)

Limitadas are not only the most common form of participation by foreign companies; they are also the most simple, flexible, and inexpensive. The limitada business structure does not require corporate formalities such as minutes or resolutions. Limitada owners’ legal responsibility is limited to the value of their shares. A limitada’s capital is divided into quotas (shares), and there are no minimum capital requirements. They are managed by one or more “administrators” who reside in Brazil and are appointed by the quota holders.

The Brazilian corporate tax regime is a traditional system, with no relationship between the tax on a company’s profits and the tax on shareholders’ distributions. Corporate income taxes are levied on income derived from all legal entities established in or operating within Brazil. Therefore, the limitada, like a US corporation, is taxed at the entity level. However, unlike US corporations, distributions or dividends paid to quota holders are not taxed at the individual level.

Bidding and direct contracting

Prospective contractors must participate in a formal bidding process. All procurement contracts with Petrobras are regulated by Decree 2,745/98 (or “Regulation of the Simplified Tender Proceedings for Petrobras”).

According to the decree, Petrobras may use several types of bidding for procurement purposes:

Call of bids (concorrência). Call for bids is the most complex method of tender procedure. Any interested party can participate as long as it has the requirements stipulated in the call notice provided by Petrobras.

Price consultations (tomada de preços). These are similar to call of bids, but participants are individuals or companies previously registered with Petrobras. Therefore, the bid evaluation occurs beforehand, as the interested participants are registered before the receipt of commercial proposals.

Letter of invitation to present proposal (convite). Bids are requested by interested parties, whether or not they are registered with Petrobras, and a minimum number of three are chosen. This modality is usually used for services of lower value.

Contests (concurso). This method is used to select technical and artistic works, and winners are paid through prizes or in cash.

Public auction (leilão). Any interested party can participate. It is reserved for the sale of Petrobras assets to the highest bidder, above a minimum floor value.

The complexity and specialization of the goods or services contracted for determine whether contracts are awarded based on lowest price, best know-how, or a combination of these two factors.

Decree 2,745/98 permits Petrobras to enter a goods or services procurement contract without the use of a formal bidding process in certain circumstances:
• Emergency cases, characterized by the need for urgent responses to situations that could cause loss or affect the safety of people, work, services, equipment, and other goods;
• Purchases of standard or “off-the shelf” materials, equipment, or items by a governmental agency when it is not possible to establish objective criteria for analyzing the different proposals; and
• Purchases of parts and spare parts from the manufacturer of the original equipment so as to maintain warranties. Petrobras is also exempt from engaging in a formal bidding process whenever “competition” is not feasible. Examples of such situations include:
• Purchases of materials, equipment, or items that are supplied by only one manufacturer, company, or commercial representative (mere brand preference does not exempt the requirement for bidding);
• Contracting for technical services of a singular nature with professionals or companies known for their specialization in the granting of opinions or their special expertise; and
• Formation of partnerships, consortiums, and other forms of contractual association to perform activities included in Petrobras’ business purpose.

Registering

Companies that want to provide services or goods to Petrobras must enroll with the “Corporate Reference File” and/or “Local Register.”

The Corporate Reference File is a registration database for vendors that provide goods and services listed in the “List of Permanent Interest of Petrobras” (available for review and registration on the Petrobras Web site). This list includes critical goods such as chemical products, drills, structures, and components. Registered vendors obtain a certificate of registration and record classification. The certificate is a prerequisite for participating in all solicitations for bids related to the List of Permanent Interest. Unlike the Local Register, bidding for items on the Corporate Reference File is conducted by Petro-bras’ procurement office and not the individual business unit that may ultimately acquire the goods or services.

By contrast, the Local Register is a registration database for vendors that provide goods and services directly to individual Petrobras business units. Each Petrobras business unit has its own Local Register procedure. These procedures are explained in each business unit’s “Manual of Documents for Registration.”

Trends in contract pricing

Petrobras is reevaluating some contracting clauses to include price-adjustment mechanisms to deal with unpredictable price increases in key materials such as steel. These flexible pricing clauses will benefit not only Petrobras but also its suppliers, as they will prevent any fall in key input prices after the contractual award.